Doomsday Clock Set to 85 Seconds to Midnight in 2026 - Closest Ever to Catastrophe

 

Doomsday Clock Set to 85 Seconds to Midnight in 2026 - Closest Ever to Catastrophe

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On January 27, 2026, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists announced that the Doomsday Clock has been set to 85 seconds to midnight. This marks the closest humanity has ever been to catastrophe since the clock was first created in 1947.

What is the Doomsday Clock?

The Doomsday Clock is a symbolic timepiece that represents how close humanity is to self-inflicted annihilation through technologies of our own making. Midnight (12:00 AM) represents the theoretical point of human extinction, and the closer we are to midnight, the greater the danger.

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, founded in 1945 by scientists who participated in the Manhattan Project, created this clock in 1947. Notable figures like Albert Einstein and Robert Oppenheimer were involved, and the initial time was set at 7 minutes to midnight.

Key Points from the 2026 Announcement

The 2026 clock moved forward 4 seconds from 2025's 89 seconds to midnight to 85 seconds to midnight. This adjustment reflects the worsening of the following threat factors:

Nuclear Weapons Threat

Daniel Holz, Chair of the Bulletin's Science and Security Board and professor at the University of Chicago, warned that "for the first time in 50 years, there is nothing to stop a runaway nuclear arms race." Military conflicts between nuclear-armed states and expiring nuclear treaties were cited as major concerns.

Climate Change

The lack of progress in addressing climate change was also identified as a key factor in moving the clock forward.

Artificial Intelligence and Misinformation

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists highlighted the uncontrolled proliferation of generative AI and the resulting spread of disinformation and misinformation as emerging threats. Maria Ressa, 2021 Nobel Peace Prize laureate and journalist, stated, "We are living through an information Armageddon. Without facts, there is no truth. Without truth, there is no trust."

Biological Threats

The potential misuse of biological technologies was also mentioned as a concern.

Why Is the World Paying Attention Now?

The surge in search volume, particularly in English-speaking countries following the January 27 announcement, is due to this being the closest to midnight in the clock's history. In 2023, it was set at 90 seconds to midnight, in 2025 at 89 seconds, and now in 2026, it has moved forward by 4 seconds to 85 seconds to midnight.

Alexandra Bell, President and CEO of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, emphasized, "Every second matters, and we are running out of time. This is a hard truth, but it is our reality."

Historical Context

The Doomsday Clock has been adjusted 26 times since its initial setting in 1947. The clock represents the current time relative to midnight (12:00 AM = human extinction), with closer proximity to midnight indicating greater danger:

  • 1947: 7 minutes to midnight (11:53 PM, initial setting)
  • 1991: 17 minutes to midnight (11:43 PM, safest period in history - end of Cold War and signing of Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty)
  • 2020: 100 seconds to midnight (11:58:20 PM)
  • 2023: 90 seconds to midnight (11:58:30 PM)
  • 2025: 89 seconds to midnight (11:58:31 PM)
  • 2026: 85 seconds to midnight (11:58:35 PM) - Most dangerous period in history

Message of Hope

Despite the pessimistic outlook, President Bell emphasized that "these problems are solvable because they are human-made." She added, "Every time we have been able to turn back the clock, it has been because scientists and experts have worked to find solutions, and the public has demanded action."

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists calls for immediate action from governments and citizens worldwide, emphasizing that the Doomsday Clock is not meant to spread fear but to inspire action.


References

  • Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists - https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/
  • ABC News - https://abcnews.go.com/US/doomsday-clock-2026-close-annihilation-scientists/story?id=129601918
  • TIME - https://time.com/7358249/doomsday-clock-midnight/
  • University of Chicago News - https://news.uchicago.edu/story/doomsday-clock-ticks-down-85-seconds-midnight-2026-closest-ever-apocalypse
  • Wikipedia - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_Clock

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